Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?
InflationOne-OffMacro & Economy13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.8%
Pronosticadores
48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado7 ago 23, 22:21 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiPPI YoY in August
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KalshiReglas
Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period.
- When taken at a global scale, this is known as the Gross World Product (GWP).
- Historically, GWP growth has been relatively steady, with notable fluctuations due to global events.
- The question posed is whether there will be a substantial, unprecedented growth in GWP – specifically, if GWP during any prior to 2040 will exceed 130% of the highest GWP recorded in any previous year.
- Before 2040, will the Gross World Product (GWP) for any single year exceed 130% of the maximum GWP recorded for any year prior to that?
- Resolution Criteria:
Mercados abiertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
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- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 77,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040??
- Está previsto que Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period.