Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
AccionesOne-OffTecnologíaPolítica de EE. UU.2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 61.5%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado3 feb 25, 23:15 UTC1 ene 29, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either.
- Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)
- *I.e., not through an index
- **25 Aug 2025: will still resolve false if the shares are purchased directly by the USG and no fund is ever created
- Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
- Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
