Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 85.8%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado11 sept 23, 22:51 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
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Manifold MarketsWill global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 41,000 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The current target for decarbonisation in the US is to reduce emissions to 50~52% of 2005 levels by 2030:
- https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/US-Long-Term-Strategy.pdf
- This will resolve YES if levels are deemed to be at or below 50% of 2005 levels according to US department of state figures published within that year.
- In the event of restructuring of departments etc then equivalent figures from an equivalent department will be sufficient.
- Otherwise resolves no.
Mercados abiertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 232,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 227,3 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186,1 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 66,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,6 mil €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US halve its emissions by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US halve its emissions by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the US halve its emissions by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US halve its emissions by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The current target for decarbonisation in the US is to reduce emissions to 50~52% of 2005 levels by 2030: