Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 1 nov 2026, 1:56
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
Ganada
Perdida
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LimitlessReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Oct 30, 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
- If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.".
- If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
- AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
- Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
