Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
One-OffCommodities7dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.3%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado2 mar 26, 18:09 UTC29 sept 26, 18:08 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kt on September 29, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Announces Diesel Export ban by which date?
PolymarketDiesel export ban before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketUS gas prices tomorrow
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.
- This includes verified production or export shortfalls directly attributable to the ban, impacting global lithium feedstock availability.
- The threshold of 10 kt is near expected supply impact estimates, reflecting a meaningful disruption given Zimbabwe's role in spodumene supply.
- Minor fluctuations or unrelated supply changes do not count.
- Resolution will rely on official government announcements, mining company disclosures, or recognized market intelligence published on or shortly after the settlement date.
- Zimbabwe's export ban removes a significant portion of global lithium feedstock.
Mercados abiertos
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+33 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 309,7 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.440099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.460099%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 104,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,7 mil €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt35%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt26%
- Before Feb 1, 202712%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,5 M €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $1.09999%
- Above $2.09999%
- Above $1.79999%
+37 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 97 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,7 mil €
KALSHIHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- $115.01 or above-2.2pt36%
- $120.01 or above-5.6pt31%
- $125.01 or above-2.7pt27%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt67%
- Above $4.80-4.0pt49%
- Above $5.00+3.0pt40%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- US gas prices this week
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 21, 2026
- Colorado gas prices tomorrow
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 22, 2026?
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Georgia gas prices tomorrow
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 77% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? se resuelva el 29 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.