¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57.2% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 57.2%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 horas

Desactualizado

5 jul 24, 10:39 UTC12 ago 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

The next general election will be held no later than August 2029.

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the most seats at that election, as happened last time (2024)?
For these purposes, win means largest party.
As determined by Wikipedia entry (here is the 2024 equivalent: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorsements_in_the_2024_United_Kingdom_general_election)
In case of no endorsement, market resolves N/A. A repeat of this market for the 2029 general election: https://manifold.markets/Nico/will-the-party-endorsed-by-the-sun#5834b77e-58bd-4e5d-a2e0-705235858385