Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 89.3%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 horas
Desactualizado4 oct 22, 22:50 UTC31 dic 27, 16:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `HdfAJon2lb0ZttRbUSAC` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 131,5 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volumen total
- 103,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 996,1 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028??
- Está previsto que Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve if any of the following are true: