Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.1%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 23, 21:29 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
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KalshiWill Salt Lake City receive a Pro Baseball expansion team before Aug 1, 2027?
KalshiReglas
Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.
- For context see https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/06/us/great-salt-lake-disappearing-drought-climate/index.html
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Boston+68.0pt99%
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Chicago+2.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 548,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 508,5 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above+20.0pt95.2%
- 91° to 92°-15.0pt1%
- 89° to 90°-6.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 97 F on September 9, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volumen total
- 100,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,9 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 9, 2026?
- 100° to 101°+55.0pt95.2%
- 98° to 99°-42.0pt1%
- 96° to 97°-10.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
- 20°C+70.0pt96.1%
- 21°C-4.0pt2.9%
- 19°C-42.3pt1%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+60.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-23.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-30.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 95 F on September 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.