Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 51.7%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado7 sept 23, 13:16 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.
- First mention: from this day forward
- Update 2026-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A mention citing Manifold's odds or data (e.g., "Prediction site Manifold Markets says that the odds of [event] happening are %x") will resolve as YES (Positive), as it provides credibility to the site.
Mercados abiertos
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- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
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- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
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- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
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- 620 mil €
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- 536 mil €
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
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- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
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- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive??
- Está previsto que Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.