Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 69%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado3 abr 23, 4:54 UTC2 sept 28, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsAtpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
Robinhood (Rothera)BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketReglas
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Mercados abiertos
ExchangeROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volumen total
- 4,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volumen total
- 459,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 459,8 mil €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volumen total
- 123,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 384,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 161,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 158,1 mil €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Está previsto que Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets? se resuelva el 2 de septiembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.