Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 64%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado3 abr 23, 4:55 UTC2 ene 27, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Está previsto que Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.