Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (46.3%)
Resuelto: 19 ago 2026, 8:24
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 53.7%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado12 ago 26, 4:5518 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes46.3%
No53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Reglas
A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.
- Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
- Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska
