¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Anthropocene be designated as a geological epoch by 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

Will the Anthropocene be designated as a geological epoch by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 90%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 horas

Desactualizado

9 mar 24, 16:56 UTC1 ene 31, 6:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves to YES if the International Commission on Stratigraphy designates the "Anthropocene" as a geologic epoch before Dec. 31, 2030.

According to wikipedia: "The Anthropocene is a proposed geological epoch dating from the commencement of significant human impact on Earth until now.
It affects Earth's geology, landscape, limnology, ecosystems and climate.[4][5] The effects of human activities on Earth can be seen for example in biodiversity loss and climate change.
Various start dates for the Anthropocene have been proposed, ranging from the beginning of the Neolithic Revolution (12,000–15,000 years ago), to as recently as the 1960s as a starting date."