¿Alcanzará la capitalización de mercado de Tesla (TSLA) los 8,6 billones de dólares antes de fin de 2035?
AccionesCustomTecnologíaEventos corporativosNegocios y empresas9a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.4%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado5 sept 25, 13:03 UTC30 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This is the valuation that triggers the maximum bonus for Musk in the next 10 years (US$1.03-trillion).
- What are the odds it is reached?
- Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on total return for a TSLA shareholder (dividends reinvested), not simply Tesla's nominal market cap.
- The target is equivalent to achieving 8.6/1.23 times the current share price (buying at $392.65 today).
- Key scenarios for edge cases:
- New share issuance: Only per-share value is tracked; dilution from new shares does not count toward the $8.6T target
