Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 91.6%
Pronosticadores
54
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado6 may 24, 15:39 UTC10 jun 29, 15:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?
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PolymarketReglas
Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.
- Will also resolve YES if a joint-partner with NASA or another space agency.
Mercados abiertos
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- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
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- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars??
- Está previsto que Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars? se resuelva el 10 de junio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.