Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 55.8%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 14:24 UTC31 mar 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to March 31, 2027.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
