Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Oceania before 2030?
One-OffSociedad y cultura3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 79.7%
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18
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 37 minutos
1 jul 23, 23:01 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Including any transcontinental countries.
- "Newly": Doesn't count any country that has already legalized it now or has set a future date for when it will be legal (like Estonia has).
- But any country that formalizes legalization at a future date, even if that date is after 2029, does count so long as the decision was locked in before 2030.
- Must qualify in such a way that the country would change to dark blue on this Wikipedia map, though changes to that map are not required for this question to resolve YES.
- Part of a series:
- @/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega
