Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.4%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 23, 8:08 UTC2 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Satya Nadella (CEO of Microsoft) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become the most loved person on the planet at some point before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be the CEO of Microsoft before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if Sam Altman becomes CEO of Microsoft for any period of time by 2030.
- Resolves NO if Altman leaves before 2030, or it doesn't happen.
