Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado23 feb 26, 8:02 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV publicly criticizes JD Vance by name before the 2028 election.
- Resolution requires a direct, named reference to Vance in a papal statement, homily, letter, or official Vatican communication.
- The criticism must occur before November 5, 2028.
- Resolution sources include official Vatican statements at https://www.vatican.va, papal homilies, and major news outlets reporting on papal statements.
- Pope Leo XIV (born Robert Francis Prevost) is the first pope to have been born in the United States, elected in May 2025.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volumen total
- 957,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 760,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election??
- Está previsto que Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election? se resuelva el 6 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria