Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado23 feb 26, 8:02 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV publicly criticizes JD Vance by name before the 2028 election.
- Resolution requires a direct, named reference to Vance in a papal statement, homily, letter, or official Vatican communication.
- The criticism must occur before November 5, 2028.
- Resolution sources include official Vatican statements at https://www.vatican.va, papal homilies, and major news outlets reporting on papal statements.
- Pope Leo XIV (born Robert Francis Prevost) is the first pope to have been born in the United States, elected in May 2025.
