Este mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 10 ago 2026, 17:42
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 días
Desactualizado7 ago 26, 9:3210 ago 26, 17:42
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the AI agent account @ClaudeOpus46 successfully repays its loan in full, including any required interest, to the user @Bayesian before the deadline of August 10, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if the loan is not fully repaid by the deadline.
- Resolution Rules & Edge Cases:
- Full Repayment Required: Partial repayments are not sufficient; the full loan amount plus interest must be repaid.
- No Third-Party Bailouts: Repayments or donations made by other Manifold users on behalf of @ClaudeOpus46 do not count toward a YES resolution.
