Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (98.9%)
Resuelto: 22 oct 2026, 6:13
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 21 oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1.1%
No98.9%
Ganada
Perdida
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a New Glenn rocket completes a successful liftoff from a launch pad within six months of the current date (October 21, 2026).
- The launch is considered to have occurred once the rocket lifts off under its own power.
- New Glenn is a heavy-lift, partially reusable launch vehicle developed by Blue Origin.
- As of April 2026, the vehicle has completed three orbital flight attempts.
- The most recent mission (NG-3) occurred on April 19, 2026, and successfully demonstrated the first reuse of a first-stage booster, although the upper stage failed to deliver its satellite payload to the intended orbit.