Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.9%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 53 minutos
Retrasado21 abr 26, 16:07 UTC21 oct 26, 16:06 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will New Glenn fly again in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a New Glenn rocket completes a successful liftoff from a launch pad within six months of the current date (October 21, 2026).
- The launch is considered to have occurred once the rocket lifts off under its own power.
- New Glenn is a heavy-lift, partially reusable launch vehicle developed by Blue Origin.
- As of April 2026, the vehicle has completed three orbital flight attempts.
- The most recent mission (NG-3) occurred on April 19, 2026, and successfully demonstrated the first reuse of a first-stage booster, although the upper stage failed to deliver its satellite payload to the intended orbit.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21)?
- Está previsto que Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21) se resuelva el 21 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria