Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.5%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
23 jun 23, 0:36 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.
- An example of strong evidence is him announcing it publicly.
- More specific criteria:
- He has to be vegan for at least 30 days continuously.
- The 30th day must be before 2030.
- I'm only counting eating foods that are typically considered vegan, not additional things like avoiding leather or animal-tested cosmetics.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.