Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.5%
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15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado23 jun 23, 0:36 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
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Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.
- An example of strong evidence is him announcing it publicly.
- More specific criteria:
- He has to be vegan for at least 30 days continuously.
- The 30th day must be before 2030.
- I'm only counting eating foods that are typically considered vegan, not additional things like avoiding leather or animal-tested cosmetics.