¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will most dubbed live-action movies/tv shows on Netflix be deepfaked by 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 69% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

Will most dubbed live-action movies/tv shows on Netflix be deepfaked by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados

Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 69%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 8 horas

Desactualizado

5 jun 23, 22:12 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

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Currently, when I watch something on Netflix which has been dubbed into English, the video feed doesn't change, so the lip movements don't match up.

But this could potentially change with deepfake technology changing the video to make it appear as if the actors are speaking English.
On the close date, I will make a determination as to whether most movies/tv shows on Netflix do this.