¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 17 de agosto de 2026.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PolíticaOne-OffElección

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: No (98.3%)

Resuelto: 16 ago 2026, 15:10

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 98.3%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 días

Desactualizado

8 ago 26, 0:2216 ago 26, 15:10

Cronología de Probabilidad

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Sí

1.7%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

PolíticaOne-OffElección

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: No (98.3%)

Resuelto: 16 ago 2026, 15:10

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 98.3%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 días

Desactualizado

8 ago 26, 0:2216 ago 26, 15:10

Cronología de Probabilidad

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

98.3%

Sí

1.7%

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if U.S. Representative Max Miller officially withdraws from his 2026 reelection campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District on or before the official state-mandated deadline of August 10, 2026 (86 days prior to the general election).
This market resolves to NO if he remains in the race past the August 10, 2026 deadline.
The outcome will be determined using reports from the Ohio Secretary of State or major credible news outlets (e.g., AP News or CNN).
U.S. Representative Max Miller (R-OH) is facing significant bipartisan and internal party pressure to exit his campaign for Ohio's 7th Congressional District following domestic abuse allegations raised by his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Ohio U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno).
Miller has strongly denied the allegations and recently pledged to self-fund his campaign with $1 million.

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 17 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??: Está previsto que Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? se resuelva el 16 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

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