Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
One-OffSociety & Culture6mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.3%
Pronosticadores
97
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado26 mar 24, 19:52 UTC27 mar 27, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.
- This question will resolve if/when a replacement bridge becomes operational.
- But it will close three years after the bridge collapse, on 3/26/27.
- I'm not betting in this market.
- To make this clearer:
- If the bridge is replaced before March 26, 2027, then the market will resolve as no.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 95% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? se resuelva el 27 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.