¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92.5% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 92.5%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 hora

Retrasado

6 jun 23, 12:50 UTC31 dic 31, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market is for predicting whether Magnus Carlsen will become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by the year 2031 in classical chess.

The market will resolve to YES if Magnus Carlsen wins any FIDE World Chess Championship in classical chess between now and the end of 2031.
The market will resolve to NO if Magnus Carlsen does not win any FIDE World Chess Championship in classical chess between now and the end of 2031.
The market will be resolved based on the official results of all FIDE World Chess Championships in classical chess held between now and the end of 2031 as announced by FIDE.
If Magnus Carlsen wins any of these championships in classical chess, the market will resolve to YES.
If Magnus Carlsen does not win any of these championships in classical chess, the market will resolve to NO.