Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 34 minutos
27 feb 26, 23:38 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Lauren Boebert wins the general election for Colorado's 4th Congressional District on November 3, 2026.
- The Republican primary is June 30, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official election results from the Colorado Secretary of State or Associated Press race calls.
- Boebert was elected to the 4th district with 53.6% of the vote in 2024.
- After one term in Congress representing the 3rd District, Boebert nearly lost reelection in 2022, then moved across the state and switched to the more heavily Republican 4th District.