Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.1%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
1 ago 23, 9:14 UTC31 dic 43, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Did he release the paper early to ensure his own Nobel Prize? Will the Nobel committee look poorly on that? Will it matter in any decisions they make? Resolves YES if Kwon Young-Wan is a Nobel recipient by market close.
- Will only resolve NO in advance of closure if
- there is an official statement from the Nobel committee that Kwon Young-Wan Will be specifically excluded from ever receiving a prize.
- Kwon Young-Wan dies before close date, in which case it will close when the following Nobel prices are awarded to ensure he has not been awarded posthumously (resolves YES if he is awarded the Nobel posthumously).
