¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88.9% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space??

Está previsto que Will Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space? se resuelva el 29 de marzo de 2054.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 88.9%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 31 minutos

28 mar 24, 7:40 UTC29 mar 54, 3:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.

If Jeff Bezos spends at least 365 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
I will not bet in this market.
Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out (this market)