Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.5%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 25, 23:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
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PolymarketIran to agree to end uranium enrichment by ?
FutuurWill uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $95/lb by Mar 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Cameco 2026 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 27.5M lbs U3O8?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran enriches uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) or higher at any point during 2026, as verified by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or credible intelligence assessments.
- Resolution will be based on reports from the IAEA (https://www.iaea.org/), official statements from the U.S. State Department or intelligence community, or peer-reviewed analysis from established nuclear research institutions such as the Institute for Science and International Security (https://isis-online.org/).
- The market resolves NO if Iran does not achieve weapons-grade enrichment during 2026, regardless of whether it increases enrichment levels below 90%.
- As of June 2025, Iran possessed 441 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%, which is just below weapons-grade.
- Weapons-grade uranium is enriched to 90%.
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 395,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 395,6 mil €
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 198,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 198,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 resultados más
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 78,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 78,5 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria