Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.6%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado21 mar 26, 2:23 UTC31 dic 27, 5:00 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
This market resolves YES if Indonesia's total cobalt mine production exceeded 55,000 tonnes in calendar year 2026, as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.
- What is measured: Total cobalt production from Indonesian mining operations (primarily the HPAL facilities at Morowali and Weda Bay industrial parks on Sulawesi and Halmahera islands) for the full calendar year January–December 2026, measured on a contained-cobalt basis.
- The USGS publishes its annual Mineral Commodity Summaries each February, covering the prior calendar year; this market settles December 31, 2027, by which point 2026 data has been public for roughly ten months.
- YES if: USGS or Cobalt Institute annual data shows Indonesian cobalt production at or above 55,000 tonnes for 2026.
- NO if: Indonesian cobalt production for 2026 is below 55,000 tonnes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
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- 395,8 mil €
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- 198,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 198,2 mil €
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- Above 3.900099%
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- Volumen total
- 78,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 78,5 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if Indonesia's total cobalt mine production exceeded 55,000 tonnes in calendar year 2026, as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.