Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualThe Deal Succeeds & I Get Paid 36.9%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 2:44 UTC1 ene 27, 3:30 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
A potential client reached out to me recently.
- He is about five years younger than me and seems to respect me and look up to me professionally.
- We spoke for about an hour on the phone and have continued to stay in contact, so there is already a positive relationship and a degree of trust between us.
- Based on what I know about him and his needs, I believe he could be an excellent fit for another studio that is run by a good friend of mine.
- My friend is fairly receptive to the possibility of the referral, but I think the situation should be handled gradually and allowed to develop naturally rather than being pushed too quickly.
- There is also an additional connection that makes the referral more workable: another friend of mine has done contracting work with this studio many times before, so there is an established relationship and some familiarity on the studio's side.
Mercados abiertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 351,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 351,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 resultados más
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza The Deal Succeeds & I Get Paid al 37% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.?
- Está previsto que Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor. se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A potential client reached out to me recently.