Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 51%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado22 abr 25, 13:14 UTC31 dic 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if the United States of America (founded 1776) ceases to exist before the Harvard University (founded 1636).
- Resolves NO if Harvard ceases to exist before the United States.
- I will try to use my best judgment to determine when either ceases to exist.
- If both cease to exist at the same time, resolves 50/50.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Harvard outlive the United States??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Harvard outlive the United States??
- Está previsto que Will Harvard outlive the United States? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2500.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Harvard outlive the United States??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the United States of America (founded 1776) ceases to exist before the Harvard University (founded 1636).