Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (92.8%)
Resuelto: 10 ago 2026, 6:04
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.8%
Pronosticadores
57
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 días
Desactualizado5 ago 26, 6:5210 ago 26, 3:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes7.2%
No92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Reglas
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations).
- General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement).
- General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count.
