Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.3%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 26, 20:05 UTC20 abr 32, 11:20 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
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Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExReglas
Despite the title saying ‘by 2032’, this market resolves YES if Newsom becomes president before scheduled market close date.
- Resolves NO at scheduled market close date, or if Newsom dies or becomes ineligible.
