Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500?
One-OffChessEquitiesCorporate ActionsDeportesBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 25, 12:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if before 2030 (in the next ~5 years) Elon Musk:
- Sells Twitter (X)
- The sale price beats what he would've made investing his initial investment into the S&P 500, not including additional (infl. adj.) cash/assets that Elon may have infused into the company during his ownership.
- The market will resolve N/A if Elon does not sell X, and "No" if the sale price does not beat the S&P500.
- ('Sale price' could also be market cap after IPO).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter beat the S&P 500??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria: