Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Other 78.6%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 24, 6:51 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Candidacy for a Political Office: This includes any elected position within the political structure of the United States of America.
- It must be a recognized office that is part of a governmental structure, including local, state/provincial, or federal levels.
- If he does run for office the named outcome the bucket containing the correct year will resolve YES and all other answers will resolve NO.
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 714,8 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 295,4 mil €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 resultados más
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA).?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA).?
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA). se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk run for elected office (USA).?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Candidacy for a Political Office: This includes any elected position within the political structure of the United States of America.