Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 19 ago 2026, 15:00
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado10 ago 26, 8:1119 ago 26, 15:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Elon Musk's official X account (@elonmusk) reaches 243,000,000 (243 million) followers or more at any point before August 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Primary Source: Elon Musk's official X profile: x.com/elonmusk.
- Detailed Count Verification: If the UI on X displays a rounded number (e.g., "243M"), third-party analytics trackers such as Social Blade will be used to verify if the exact follower count has crossed the 243,000,000 threshold.
- Edge Cases: If he changes his handle, the market will track the new handle of his main personal account.
