Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.9%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado20 ene 26, 9:19 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsWill Elon purchase Ryanair?
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PolymarketReglas
Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?
- The outcome resolves to YES if a definitive agreement is publicly announced and legally executed in which Elon Musk (personally or via an entity he controls) acquires a controlling stake (≥50% voting rights) in Ryanair before the resolution date.
- The outcome resolves to NO if no such acquisition occurs by the deadline.
- Rumors, negotiations, minority investments, partnerships, or non-binding offers do not count as a YES.
- Resolution is based on credible public disclosures, regulatory filings, or official statements from the parties involved.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 48,8 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 resultados más
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Whether Elon Musk will acquire Ryanair by 31 December 2027 (23:59 UTC)?