Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
EquitiesOne-OffTecnologíaBusiness & Corporate7mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.7%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 22, 2:39 UTC8 abr 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk buy a major sports team before 2027?
KalshiWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNew York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
KalshiWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsNew York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Manifold MarketsWho will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Consider the following:
- Elon Musk has a net worth of $219B [1] Jeff Bezos has a net worth of $171B [1] Twitter has a market cap of $40 B [2] New York Times Co has a market cap of of $7.58 B [3] Bezos Purchased the Washington Post for $250 M [4] Musk purchased 9% of twitter for $2.89 B [5]
- It is therefore not completely out of the question that a chaos agent like Elon Musk might attempt to purchase some sizeable portion of the New York Times Co. If he spent the same amount on NYTCo as he did on his 9% of twitter, my napkin math gives him over a third of the company.
- So how likely is this to happen in the next five years?
- [1] https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/ [2] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjT17PTtoP3AhVermoFHe1sCe0Q3ecFegQIKhAg [3] https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/NYT [4] https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/details-of-bezos-deal-to-buy-washington-post/2013/08/05/968a2bc4-fe1b-11e2-9711-3708310f6f4d_story.html [5] https://www.barrons.com/articles/musk-stake-twitter-active-51649234303
- Apr 7, 9:39pm: To be clear I'm not trying to bring this about or trying to give the man any ideas.
Mercados abiertos
EquitiesKALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,9 mil €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.7%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.8%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,5 M €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.7pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++13.3pt77.9%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.5pt7.7%
- 1T–1.25T-1.3pt5.8%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+4.5pt73%
- Up-4.5pt27%
- Volumen total
- 16,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 15,1 mil €
- S&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years? se resuelva el 8 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Consider the following: