Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88.9%
Pronosticadores
126
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado20 mar 23, 10:24 UTC2 ene 00, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize?
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Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketReglas
Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.
Mercados abiertos
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
+28 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 360,3 mil €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 resultados más
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
+28 resultados más
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,2 mil €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 37,4 mil €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best R&B
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Está previsto que Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2200.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.