Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
One-OffSociety & Culture3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 62.9%
Pronosticadores
66
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
13 dic 22, 7:27 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves subjectively.
- What this might include is a noticeable split into e.g. longtermist and neartermist.
- For example, with a large (>10%) minority of members of either groups stopping to identify as part of broader EA generally.
- Open to hashing out more objective criteria.
Mercados abiertos
Society & Culture
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 63% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Está previsto que Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves subjectively.