Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 97.8%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado20 may 26, 4:51 UTC20 nov 26, 4:50 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Gallrein win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
In 2024, Donald Trump recieved 66.91% in Kentuckys 4th Congressional district.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky#District_4
- Resolves yes if Ed gallrein recieves 66.90% or less.
- Resolves no if Ed Gallrein recieves 66.91% or more.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 98% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump??
- Está previsto que Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump? se resuelva el 20 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In 2024, Donald Trump recieved 66.91% in Kentuckys 4th Congressional district.