Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 74%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado14 nov 24, 9:08 UTC8 ene 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.
Mercados abiertos
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 936 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 714,5 mil €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 567,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 564,3 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 482,8 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 403 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 382,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Está previsto que Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031? se resuelva el 8 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.