Will drone delivery of groceries be available to the general public in San Francisco by EOY 2026?
One-OffTecnología2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 11:08 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.2%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 feb 25, 4:02 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Reglas
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026:
- A drone delivery service for groceries is publicly available to general consumers (not just beta testers) within San Francisco city limits
- The service is operational and accepting orders (not just announced or in testing)
- Customers can place orders through a public-facing app or website
- This market resolves YES if drone delivery is available to some, but not all, addresses within San Francisco.
- This market resolves YES if at least 20 SKUs are offered for delivery that are identical or equivalent to SKUs carried by a grocery store or convenience store.
