Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.9%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado18 dic 25, 20:26 UTC31 dic 26, 20:25 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
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FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president through December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer serving as president by that date, including through resignation, removal via the 25th Amendment, impeachment and conviction, or any other means of losing the office.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official White House website (whitehouse.gov) or major news sources confirming the sitting president on December 31, 2026.
- Trump previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021, making him the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Está previsto que Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria