Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 59.2%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 20:22 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?
Manifold MarketsWill Lambda's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2027 exceed 8 USD billion?
Manifold MarketsWill global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2028 exceed 8 USD billion?
Manifold MarketsWill Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the combined calendar-year 2026 revenue of CoreWeave + Lambda Labs + Crusoe Energy/Cloud exceeds $10 billion USD.
- Source of truth:
- CoreWeave: SEC 10-K filing for fiscal year 2026 (CoreWeave is publicly traded as of 2025-IPO, ticker CRWV). 10-K typically filed in February-March of following year.
- Lambda Labs: company-disclosed revenue figure in any public communication (press release, earnings-equivalent, IPO filing if it IPOs in 2026, or otherwise self-reported in interview/podcast cited by major news outlet).
- Crusoe Energy: same as Lambda — company-disclosed in public communication.
- If any of the three companies does not publicly disclose a 2026 revenue figure by 2027-02-28, that company contributes their last publicly disclosed revenue figure to the sum, with explicit note of the staleness.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-0.2pt92%
- Yes+0.2pt8%
- Volumen total
- 18,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 187,6 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 202823.3%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-5.0pt20.7%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt19.8%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,86%
- December 15,83%
- November 30,-2.0pt77%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt84%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount-2.0pt78%
- None before July 2027+1.0pt18%
- Netflix+2.0pt4%
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill data center power-cost standards become law?
- No87%
- Yes13%
- Volumen total
- 5,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,9 mil €
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- LSU vs Ole Miss
- Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 59% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B??
- Está previsto que Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B? se resuelva el 28 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the combined calendar-year 2026 revenue of CoreWeave + Lambda Labs + Crusoe Energy/Cloud exceeds $10 billion USD.