Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.8%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 26, 8:35 UTC30 abr 28, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold MarketsWho will live longer?
Manifold MarketsWill Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
PolymarketClavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
[image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.
- Braden Eric Peters (aka Clavicular) was born on 17 December 2005.
- On 30 April 2028 he will be 22 years and 135 days old if he is still alive.
- Resolves YES if Clavicular is still alive on 30 April 2028.
- Resolves NO if he dies before then.
Mercados abiertos
Society & Culture
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,2 mil €
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 10,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,6 mil €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 15,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 431,2 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+0.5pt82.2%
- Yes-0.5pt17.8%
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 234,7 €
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volumen total
- 189,7 €
- Volumen 24h
- 189,7 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+3.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 50,9 mil €
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 87% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did??
- Está previsto que Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? se resuelva el 30 de abril de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: [image]Aziz Sergeyevich Shavershian (aka Zyzz) died 22 years and 134 days old on 5 August 2011.