Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección6aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.3%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado19 ene 26, 19:23 UTC19 ene 33, 19:18 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a Democratic president appoints Clarence Thomas's replacement to the Supreme Court.
- This market resolves NO if a Republican president appoints his replacement.
- Resolution will be determined by the party affiliation of the president who nominates and the Senate that confirms the replacement justice.
- The replacement must specifically fill Thomas's seat—expansion of the Court or replacement of other justices (Alito, Sotomayor, etc.) does not count.
- Thomas has served as an associate justice of the Supreme Court since 1991, and has surpassed Justice Hugo Black to become the fifth-longest-serving justice in U.S. Supreme Court history as of November 2025.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president??
- Está previsto que Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president? se resuelva el 19 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria