Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
RegulaciónOne-OffChina1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 57.4%
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7
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 17:53 UTC31 may 28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Century Aluminum operates Sebree and Mt. Holly (Kentucky/South Carolina), Grundartangi (Iceland), and has the Hawesville smelter idled. 2024 production was 0.69 Mt and shipments 0.678 Mt. The 0.7 Mt strike for 2027 reflects steady-state operations at running smelters; the Century-EGA Inola greenfield (Oklahoma, $4B build, ~600 kt/yr nameplate) targets first metal late 2028 and is not material to 2027.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Century Aluminum 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR) https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000949157
- Century Aluminum quarterly earnings releases https://centuryaluminum.com/
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes??
- Está previsto que Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? se resuelva el 31 de mayo de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.